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Showing posts from 2021

Is there an “Evergrande” among Bursa property stocks? (Part 1 of 2)

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Case Notes 15. Seven red flags were identified based on Evergrande performance. These were then used to screen for potential Evergrande among Bursa Malaysia property companies.  There were none that matched all the 7 criteria.  

Are these outstanding stocks - what to consider? (Other Stock Exchanges)

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Tips B  - Other Stock Exchanges. This is a quick guide to diversification concepts as well as case study companies listed in other countries (from a Malaysian perspective).  Look here if you want to see the infographics of Bursa Malaysia case study companies.  BTW I would like to clarify that the post is not about investment advice but rather teaching you how to invest. If you were enrolled in an educational institution to learn about investing, these would be your quick revision notes.  Revision date:  13 Oct 2021.

Is Petron Malaysia one of the better Bursa Malaysia stocks?

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Value Investing Case Study 05-3: I first covered Petron Malaysia in Oct 2020. This is an update taking into account the financials for FYE 2020 and the Q2 2021 results.  

A tough 12 years for Bursa Malaysia steel companies

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Case Notes 14.  This article tracked the 2009 to 2020 performance of the companies under the Bursa Malaysia iron and steel sector. The data are meant to serve as base rates when analyzing steel companies.  

The ultimate look at how to choose the best value investing course

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Fundamentals 17: This article first looked at the various options available to learn value investing - self-taught vs formal courses, self-study vs classroom, general vs a specific formula or technique. It then discussed how you can go about identifying the best option.     "The individual investor should act consistently as an investor and not as a speculator." Ben Graham

The ultimate Q&A to Investment Risk 101

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Investing tips 03: The  original version of this article was published in March 2021. It was part of a series of investing advice that has been collated from my Quora responses. It has now been updated to include specific answers to what are risks, how to identify and assess them, and how to mitigate them.  Revision date: 22 Sep 2021 "Given a 10% chance of a 100 times payoff, you should take that bet every time."  Jeff Bezos

Is Timken Steel one of the better NYSE stocks? (Part 2 of 2)

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Value Investing Case Study 19-2: I first published Timken Steel in Seeking Alpha in Aug 2021 based on the results from 2010 until Q1 2021. The company has since then released its results for Q2 2021. This is Part 2 of the updated post that incorporated the Q2 2021 financials.  

Are these outstanding stocks - what to consider? (Bursa Malaysia)

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Tips A - Bursa Malaysia.  This post was first titled "How to cut down your investing time, look here".  It was then changed to "Are these outstanding Bursa stock tips - what to buy?".  I have now split the original post into 2 - one covering Bursa Malaysia companies and another new post for companies listed in other stock exchanges.  This post is a quick guide to all the investing concepts and Bursa Malaysian case study companies in the blog.  Look here if you want to refer to infographics of case study companies listed on other stock exchanges.  BTW the blog is not about investment advice but rather teaching you how to invest.  If you were enrolled in an educational institution to learn about investing, these would be your quick revision notes.   Revision date:  15 Sep 2021

Is CSC Steel one of the better Bursa Malaysia stocks?

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Value Investing Case Study 04-3: I first covered CSC Steel in Sep 2020. This is an update taking into account the financials for FYE 2020 and the Q2 2021 results.

Is Timken Steel one of the better NYSE stocks? (Part 1 of 2)

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Value Investing Case Study 19-1: I first published Timken Steel in Seeking Alpha in Aug 2021 based on the results till Q1 2021. Since then, the company had released its results for Q2 2021. This is an updated post that incorporated the Q2 2021 financials.

HouzKEY - an unintended financing scheme for investors

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Case Notes 13. This article looks at how a creative investor can make use of the HouzKEY scheme to finance his stock investments.

The ultimate look at how to find undervalued stocks

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Fundamentals 16: To find undervalued stocks, you compare price with value. This article looks at how to value companies and what to consider when comparing price with value. "I don't look to jump over seven-foot bars; I look around for one-foot bars that I can step over."  Warren Buffett

Is Generac Holdings a growth trap? (Part 2 of 2)

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Value Investing Case Study 18-2: I first analyzed Generac for  Seeking Alpha  in Jul 2021. At that juncture only the Q1 2021 results were available. Since then, the company has released its Q2 2021 results. This post incorporates the latest quarterly results. In Part 1, I focused on the company analysis. Part 2 here focuses on management performance and valuation.

Is Generac Holdings a growth trap? (Part 1 of 2)

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Value Investing Case Study 18-1: I first analyzed Generac for Seeking Alpha in Jul 2021. At that juncture only the Q1 2021 results were available. Since then, the company has released its Q2 2021 results. This post incorporates the latest quarterly results.   

Is BPlant one of the better Bursa Malaysia stocks?

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Value Investing Case Study 17-1: Investment thesis for Boustead Plantations. 

The ultimate Q&A to Investing 101

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Investing tips 01: This is part of a series of investing advice that has been collated from my Quora responses.  I have updated it to provide a bit more information on what is investing, why invest and why invest in the stock market. Revision date: 4 Aug 2021 "An investment in knowledge pays the best interest."  Benjamin Franklin

How the Malaysian plantation sector performed over the past 8 years

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Case Notes 12.  This article tracked the 2013 to 2020 performance of the companies under the Bursa Malaysia plantation sector. The data are meant to serve as base rates when analyzing plantation companies.  

The ultimate Q&A to Fundamental Analysis 101

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Investing tips 04: I first published this post in Mac 2021 based on the investing advice that has been collated from my Quora responses.  It has now been updated to include specific answers to what are fundamental analysis, company analysis and valuation.  Revision date: 28 Jul 2021 “No wise pilot, no matter how great his talent and experience, fails to use his checklist.”  Charlie Munger

Why you should not buy TPX - A relative fundamental analysis

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Value Investing Case Study 13-3.  The original version of this article was published as a guest post in Value Investing Journey under “ Should you invest in TPX - A relative fundamental analysis ”.  For that article, my relative valuation was based on the market price as of 24 May 2021. For this article, I have updated the relative valuation based on the market price as of 22 July 2021.   

The ultimate Q&A to Value Investing 101

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Investing tips 07:  I originally published this article on 27 Mac 2021 as a collection of my Quora responses. I have since revised it to also cover what is value investing, how and why it works, and the skill required.  Revision date: 23 Jul 2021. “Investment is most intelligent when it is most businesslike.”  Ben Graham

The ultimate look at how much to invest in stocks.

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Fundamentals 15: This article explores the factors to consider when deciding how much to invest in the stock market. It is linked to portfolio issues like how much you should set aside for stocks and how many stocks to hold. "Don't look for the needle in the haystack. Just buy the haystack!"  John Bogle

Is Worthington Industries a growth trap? (Part 2 of 2)

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Value Investing Case Study 16-2: I first covered Worthington Industries in Jun 2021 in Seeking Alpha based on relative fundamental analysis. This post continues the company analysis and valuation along the lines of my normal approach.  

Pemulih loan moratorium - is there really no interest on interest?

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Case Notes 11. This article looks at the interest element in the loan moratorium under the Pemulih plans. It disputes the message that there is no interest on interest

Is UOA Ltd one of the better SGX stocks?

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Value Investing Case Study 03-4: My last analysis and valuation of UOA Ltd were published about a year ago based on the financials till FYE 2019.  This is an update incorporating the FYE 2020 results.

Is Worthington Industries a growth trap? (Part 1 of 2)

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Value Investing Case Study 16-1: I first covered Worthington Industries in Jun 2021 in Seeking Alpha based on relative fundamental analysis. This post analyses the company following my normal approach.

The ultimate look at how to learn value investing

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Fundamentals 14: There are several options to consider when you want to learn value investing. They include whether to self-study or join a class, whether to follow some system or a comprehensive course, and where to get the resources. This article explores all of them. "It's not whether you're right or wrong that's important, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong."  George Soros

Is Leggett & Platt a growth trap? (Part 2 of 2)

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Value Investing Case Study 15-2. In my Seeking Alpha article that was published in Feb 2021, I had valued Leggett & Platt at USD 50 per share. The current price has exceeded this. In this second part of my fundamental analysis of the Group, I will show that it is a growth trap.

Will the Malaysian Property industry turn around by 2024?

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Case Notes 10. This article shows how Malaysian property developers have performed over the past decade. It is intended to serve as the base rates for assessing property companies in Malaysia. 

Is Asia File still a value trap? (June 2021)

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Value Investing Case Study 02-3.  This is an updated fundamental analysis and valuation of Asia File based on the unaudited financial results till FYE Mac 2021.

Is Leggett & Platt a growth trap? (Part 1 of 2)

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Value Investing Case Study 15-1. I first covered Leggett & Platt in Feb 2021 in Seeking Alpha. At that juncture, the company had yet to release its 2020 results. This post is an updated analysis incorporating the 2020 financials.  

The ultimate look at how to be a successful value investor

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Fundamentals 13:  This article explores the concept of value investing and what it takes to be a successful value investor. It covers what value investors look for, how value investors make money, and the various value investing strategies. "I will tell you how to become rich. Close the doors. Be fearful when others are greedy. Be greedy when others are fearful."  Warren Buffett

Is Kumpulan Fima a value trap? (Part 2 of 2)

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Value Investing Case Study 14-2.  This is Part 2 of the fundamental analysis and valuation of Kumpulan Fima.   

The best way to reduce investment risk

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Fundamentals 12:  This an update on the risk management framework pulling together the threads from my various risk articles. However, instead of publishing it in my blog, I have guest posted it in a US value investing site ‘ Investing for Beginners .”   

Expanding your company analysis toolbox with relative fundamental analysis.

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Fundamentals 11:  This is a quantitative technique for comparing fundamentals. To illustrate how to use it, I have compared the performance of Tempur-Sealy with those of its peers. 

The ultimate look at how to invest in your 20s

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Fundamentals 10:  This is a beginners’ guide to investing in yours 20s. It covers how to invest money, the best way to invest and why to start to invest when in your 20s. This is general advice applicable irrespective of where you live.  "In investing, what is comfortable is rarely profitable."  Robert Arnott

Is Tempur Sealy a growth trap? (Part 2 of 2)

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Value Investing Case Study 13-2: This post covers the risk analysis and valuation of Tempur-Sealy, a US-listed group in the bedding sector.

Is Kumpulan Fima a value trap? (Part 1 of 2)

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Value Investing Case Study 14-1: The first part in the fundamental analysis of Kumpulan Fima. 

Is Steel Dynamics a growth trap?

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Value Investing Case Study 08-3: This is an updated analysis of Steel Dynamics incorporating the 2020 results. However, I have published it as a guest post in Value Investing Journey . Contents Background Is Steel Dynamics a growth trap? Value Investing Journey CSC Steel This blog is reader-supported. When you buy through links in the post, the blog will earn a small commission. The payment comes from the retailer and not from you.  Learn more .

Is Tempur-Sealy a growth trap? (Part 1 of 2)

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Value Investing Case Study 13-1: I first covered Tempur-Sealy in my Seeking Alpha article “ Tempur-Sealy: Time To Exit ” in Feb 2021. The fundamental analysis then was based on the annual financials from 2010 till 2019. The company has since released its 2020 results which have been incorporated in this article.  

The ultimate look at how to invest in penny stocks

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Fundamentals 09:  The article looks at various issues when investing in penny stocks - whether it is bad, illegal. It explores what differentiates penny stocks from others and how you can benefit from these. "Bottoms in the investment world don't end with four-year lows; they end with 10- or 15-year lows."  Jim Rogers

Is Eksons still a value trap? (May 2021)

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Value Investing Case Study 01-3: An updated fundamental analysis of Eksons based on the financial results till FYE Mac 2020.

The ultimate look at how long to hold onto stocks

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Fundamentals 07:   This post looks at how long to hold onto stocks from various perspectives. Factors considered include capital gains, income tax, dividends, investment styles, winners, and losers. It explores whether there is a minimum holding period and what is considered a long time. “You need to know very well when to move away, or give up the loss, and not allow the anxiety to trick you into trying again.” Warren Buffett

Better to invest or pay off mortgage? - the evidence.

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Case Notes 09: If you have extra money, is it better to invest in the stock market or to reduce the housing loan? This is a very common question that many seemed to answer in a theoretical manner. This article looked at the Malaysian historical evidence to provide a different perspective.

Is the KLCI running ahead of the rest of Bursa Malaysia?

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Case Notes 08: The KLCI has recovered to the 2016 levels. Is the recovery reflective of the prospects and it is broad-based? This article explores these issues.

Which one is the outstanding Parkson? (Part 3 of 3)

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Value Investing Case Study 12-3: There are 3 listed companies within the PHB Group.  In Part 1 and 2, I have shown that the PHB Group is not a value trap.  In Part 3, I will address the question of which one to invest in if you were limited to investing in only one of them. I will also explore whether you should invest directly in the subsidiaries but with a different % shareholding than those held by PHB. 

Is Parkson Holdings a buying opportunity? (Part 2 of 3)

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Value Investing Case Study 12-2: In Part 1, the company analysis indicated that PHB Group is not a value trap. I will dig deeper in Part 2 to provide a more definitive answer to the question of whether PHB is a value trap or buying opportunity.  In Part 3, I will address the question that if you were limited to investing in only one of the 3 listed companies within the PHB Group, which would you select? 

Is Parkson Holdings a value trap (Part 1 of 3)

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Value Investing Case Study 12-1:  Parkson Holdings has 2 listed subsidiaries so that overall, we are looking at 3 listed stocks in 3 different countries.  Parts 1 and 2 will cover the analysis and valuation of the holding company.  In Part 3, I will address the question that if you were limited to investing in only one of the 3 listed companies, which would you select.

The ultimate Q&A to Stock Market 101

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Investing tips 08:  This post is about the stock market  that has been collated from my Quora responses.  "It's not whether you're right or wrong that's important, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong."  George Soros

Is Boise Cascade a reverse value trap? (Part 2 of 2)

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Value Investing Case Study 11-2:   In my Seeking Alpha article   “Boise Cascade: Overpriced And A Potential Value Trap” ,  I used the Jan 2020 Damodaran data for my valuation.  Damodaran’s Jan 2021 data is now available and I have used them in this post. The valuation results are different from those in the Seeking Alpha article. Refer to the valuation section of this post to see how I have handled this.  

The ultimate Q&A to Stock Returns 101

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Investing tips 06:  This post about stock returns is part of a series of investing advice that has been collated from my Quora responses.  “Superior investors make more money in good times than they give back in bad times.”  Howard Marks